Onyx Bugett | TalkLife News
October 23, 2026 · All U.S. local times in this article are Eastern unless otherwise stated.
JACKSONVILLE — A relatively dry stretch of weather does not necessarily mean a safe weekend along Northeast Florida’s beaches and tidal waterways. Forecasts issued Friday, October 23, point to persistent onshore winds, rough surf and a risk of worsening coastal flooding into early next week.
The National Weather Service’s October 23 coastal-hazard notice places coastal Duval under a high rip-current risk through Monday evening, October 26. A coastal flood advisory runs until 2 a.m. Saturday, with a coastal flood watch covering the period from late Friday night through Monday evening.
Related alerts cover other coastal and tidal areas, including portions of St. Johns and Flagler counties, South Central Duval and the Trout River area. Residents should check the notice for their specific location rather than assume one timetable applies across the region.
The concern is water pushed toward shore
In her Friday morning forecast, News4JAX meteorologist Katie Garner describes low pressure near the Bahamas and high pressure to the north helping strengthen northeast winds. That onshore flow can push water into the coast and tidal waterways.
The approaching Monday full moon adds higher astronomical tides to the forecast. Garner says water could rise roughly 1.5 to 2.5 feet above normal, with the most vulnerable locations potentially seeing more serious flooding. These are forecast possibilities, not measured water levels for every neighborhood.
Residents near tidal creeks, rivers and the Intracoastal Waterway should pay particular attention around high tide. Beach conditions also warrant caution: the forecast includes the possibility of surf reaching 7 to 10 feet Sunday.
Make plans around the hazards
The Weather Service warns that flooding can inundate low-lying property and close roads. Drivers should allow extra time, respect barricades and avoid water of unknown depth. Beachgoers should follow lifeguard instructions and posted flags; dangerous rip currents can overpower experienced swimmers.
The flood watch signals that significant flooding is possible. Conditions, alert areas and end times may change, so consult the latest Weather Service notice before traveling or making waterfront plans.